Friday
No. 2 Cincinnati Bearcats (-23.5, 58) at South Florida Bulls, 6 ET on ESPN2
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USF has covered four straight games against ranked opponents, including 3-0 ATS this season.
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USF has covered four straight as a home underdog, including 3-0 ATS this season.
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Cincinnati has failed to cover six straight meetings, including 0-4 ATS under Luke Fickell (since 2017).
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Cincinnati has failed to cover three straight (all as a favorite of 20+ points) following a 5-1 ATS start this season.
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Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in games off fewer than six days rest under Fickell.
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The under is 18-7 in Cincinnati road games under Fickell, including three straight.
Saturday
New Mexico State Aggies at No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (-51.5, 67), Noon ET
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This would be the eighth instance since 2000 of a 50-point spread between two FBS teams. Alabama was involved in two of the previous seven, including as 55-point favorites against New Mexico State in 2019 (failed to cover in 62-10 win). Overall, favorites of 50 or more points in FBS matchups are 7-16 ATS since the 1978 FBS/FCS split, including 3-13 ATS since 1990 and 1-6 ATS since 2000.
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New Mexico State is 5-0 ATS in road games this season, all as an underdog.
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New Mexico State is 6-1 ATS following a loss this season.
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Alabama is 8-1 ATS as a home favorite since the start of last season.
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New Mexico State has failed to cover 11 of its last 15 games against ranked opponents, including 2-5 ATS under Doug Martin (since 2013).
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New Mexico State is 10-17-2 ATS in games in November or later under Martin.
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Alabama is 4-10 ATS as a favorite of 45 or more points under Nick Saban (since 2007).
No. 9 Michigan Wolverines at No. 23 Penn State Nittany Lions (Even, 48.5), Noon ET on ABC
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The over is 19-11 in Michigan road games under Jim Harbaugh, including 9-2 since 2019 and 6 straight.
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Penn State is 5-1 ATS against teams with winning records this season.
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Michigan is 7-2 ATS this season, tied for the third-best cover percentage in FBS.
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Michigan is 4-1 ATS when the line is between -3 and +3 since 2019.
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Penn State is 2-12 outright against AP Top-10 teams under James Franklin (since 2014).
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Michigan is 1-4 ATS in games in November or later since 2020.
No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners (-5.5, 62.5) at No. 18 Baylor Bears, Noon ET
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Baylor is 5-0 ATS in home games this season. The Bears are one of five remaining teams without an ATS loss at home.
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Oklahoma is 12-6-1 ATS against ranked opponents under Lincoln Riley (since 2017), including 5 straight covers dating to last season.
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Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS under Riley against Baylor.
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Oklahoma is 5-11-1 ATS as a road favorite under Riley.
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The over is 4-1 in Oklahoma’s last 5 games (over was 2-2 in Oklahoma’s first 4 games this season).
Mississippi State Bulldogs at No. 16 Auburn Tigers (-5.5, 50), Noon ET on ESPN
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Auburn has covered 12 of its last 15 games as a home favorite (3-1 ATS under Bryan Harsin this season).
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Auburn has covered 7 of its last 8 games as a favorite, regardless of venue (includes 2 road games).
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Mississippi State has covered 4 straight as a road underdog.
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The under is 8-2 in Mississippi State games under Mike Leach following a loss (since 2020).
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Mississippi State has covered 4 of its last 5 games against ranked opponents.
Northwestern Wildcats at No. 20 Wisconsin Badgers (-24, 41), Noon ET on ESPN2
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Northwestern is 0-3 ATS in road games this season.
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Northwestern has covered four straight meetings dating to 2017.
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Wisconsin has covered three straight after starting the season 2-4 ATS.
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Northwestern is 33-19 ATS as a road underdog under Pat Fitzgerald (since 2006), including 14-5 ATS since 2015. However, four of those five ATS losses have come since 2019.
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Wisconsin has covered four straight conference games.
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Northwestern is 7-1 ATS in games in November or later since the start of last season.
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The under is 4-1 in Wisconsin home games this season.
Purdue Boilermakers at No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes (-20, 62), 3:30 ET on ABC
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Purdue is 7-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog under Jeff Brohm (since 2017), including five straight covers in such games.
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The under is 4-0 in Purdue road games this season.
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Purdue is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog under Brohm.
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Purdue is 10-3 ATS against ranked opponents under Brohm, including 4-1 ATS against AP top 10 teams (three straight covers against AP top 10).
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Ohio State is 13-6-1 ATS in conference games since 2019, Ryan Day’s first full season as head coach (3-2-1 ATS this season).
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The over is 8-2-1 in Ohio State games against conference opponents since the start of last season.
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Ohio State is 4-9 ATS in games in November or later since 2019.
Maryland Terrapins at No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (-13, 62), 4 ET
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Maryland is 1-8 ATS against ranked opponents under Locksley. The Terrapins have failed to cover eight straight against ranked teams, the longest active streak in FBS.
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Maryland has failed to cover five straight (four of five as underdog).
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Michigan State is 2-12 ATS as a home favorite since 2018, including 1-3 ATS under Melvin Tucker (since 2020).
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Michigan State is 3-10 ATS as a double-digit favorite since 2018 (1-1 ATS under Tucker).
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Maryland has failed to cover eight straight conference games (0-6 ATS this season).
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The total has gone under in six straight meetings.
No. 11 Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5, 55.5) at No. 12 Ole Miss Rebels, 7 ET on ESPN
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Ole Miss is 0-3 ATS against ranked teams this season.
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Texas A&M has covered four of its last five games against ranked opponents.
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Texas A&M has covered eight straight games as a road favorite dating to 2017, the longest active streak in FBS (7-0 ATS under Jimbo Fisher).
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Texas A&M has covered four straight games after starting the season 2-3 ATS.
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The under is 5-1 in the Rebels’ last six games after going 1-2 to start the season.
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Six straight meetings have gone under the total dating to 2014.
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Ole Miss is 3-10 ATS when the line is between -3 and +3 over the last five seasons, including 1-3 ATS under Lane Kiffin (since 2020).
No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5.5, 64.5) at Virginia Cavaliers, 7:30 ET on ABC
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Notre Dame has covered six of its last seven games after starting the season 0-2 ATS.
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Virginia is 4-1 ATS in home games this season.
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Virginia is 13-3 ATS following a bye dating to 2010 (6-1 ATS since 2017, Bronco Mendenhall’s second season as Cavaliers’ head coach).
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The over is 5-1 in Virginia games under Mendenhall (since 2016) against AP top-10 teams.
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Notre Dame is 10-3 ATS in games in November or later since 2019.
No. 21 NC State Wolfpack at No. 13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-2, 66.5), 7:30 ET
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The total has gone under in five straight games involving Wake Forest against ranked opponents.
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NC State is 4-1 ATS when the line is between -3 and +3 since the start of last season.
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NC State has covered five of its last six games as an underdog.
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NC State is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 road games.
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NC State is 11-4 ATS in games against conference opponents since the start of last season.
Arkansas Razorbacks (-2.5, 59) at LSU Tigers, 7:30 ET
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Arkansas has failed to cover six straight games as a road favorite dating to 2011, tied for the second-longest active streak in FBS with SMU. Florida (second straight) is the only team with a longer such active streak.
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LSU is 12-5 ATS as an underdog since 2017, Ed Orgeron’s first full season at the helm.
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LSU hasn’t lost three straight games outright since 2015. The Tigers have lost each of their previous two games (at No. 12 Ole Miss, at No. 3 Alabama).
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Arkansas is 1-14 outright in road games since 2018, including 1-6 under Sam Pittman (since 2020).
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LSU has won five straight meetings dating to 2016.
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LSU is 16-7 ATS in games in November or later since 2017.
Washington State Cougars at No. 5 Oregon Ducks (-14, 56.5), 10:30 ET on ESPN
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Oregon is 7-15-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite since 2018, Mario Cristobal’s first full season at the helm. The Ducks have failed to cover seven straight games as a double-digit favorite, tied with UConn for the longest active streak in FBS.
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Oregon is 4-14-1 ATS as a home favorite since 2018, including 0-5 ATS this season (all as a favorite).
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Washington State is 5-1 ATS as an underdog this season, including 3-0 ATS on the road.
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Oregon is 11-19-1 ATS as a favorite since 2018, including 1-9 ATS in its last 10 such games.
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Washington State has covered six straight games.
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Washington State has covered 10 of the last 11 meetings since 2010.
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Washington State is 1-5 ATS against ranked opponents since 2019.
