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Economy blows past expectations, adds 259,000 jobs in February

OTTAWA — Statistics Canada says the economy added 259,000 jobs in February, almost wiping out losses sustained over the previous two months.

The economy lost almost 213,000 jobs in January as lockdown measures erased months of gains, and marked the worst monthly declines since last April.

February’s reopenings reversed that drop with gains largely in Ontario and Quebec, and in sectors highly affected by tightened public health restrictions.

The national unemployment rate fell to 8.2 per cent, the lowest level since March 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, and down from the 9.4 per cent recorded in January.

Statistics Canada says the unemployment rate would have been 10.7 per cent in February had it included in calculations Canadians who wanted to work but didn’t search for a job.

The figures blew past expectations of a gain of 75,000 and an unemployment rate of 9.2 per cent, according to financial data firm Refinitiv.

CIBC senior economist Royce Mendes writes that the quick turnaround in jobs numbers is reminiscent of the first wave of the pandemic when employment rebounded far faster than expected as the economy began reopening.

However, he says in a note that the labour market has a long way to get back to where it was prior to COVID-19.

The gains now leave the country 599,100 jobs short of where they were in February of last year, or 3.1 per cent below pre-pandemic levels.

The federal government is keeping a close eye on the labour market, suggesting it will use jobs as a gauge for planned stimulus measures to be unveiled in a spring budget.

So too is the Bank of Canada monitoring employment, noting the uneven impacts of job losses in its reasoning this week for holding its key policy rate at 0.25 per cent.

A quick look at Canada’s February employment (numbers from the previous month in brackets):

  • Unemployment rate: 8.2 per cent (9.4)
  • Employment rate: 59.4 per cent (58.6)
  • Participation rate: 64.7 per cent (64.7)
  • Number unemployed: 1,665,100 (1,899,000)
  • Number working: 18,531,200 (18,272,000)
  • Youth (15-24 years) unemployment rate: 17.1 per cent (19.7)
  • Men (25 plus) unemployment rate: 6.9 per cent (7.6)
  • Women (25 plus) unemployment rate: 6.7 per cent (8.0)

 

Here are the jobless rates last month by province (numbers from the previous month in brackets):

  • Newfoundland and Labrador 15.3 per cent (12.8)
  • Prince Edward Island 9.2 per cent (7.9)
  • Nova Scotia 8.1 per cent (8.3)
  • New Brunswick 8.9 per cent (8.8)
  • Quebec 6.4 per cent (8.8)
  • Ontario 9.2 per cent (10.2)
  • Manitoba 6.8 per cent (8.0)
  • Saskatchewan 7.3 per cent (7.2)
  • Alberta 9.9 per cent (10.7)
  • British Columbia 6.9 per cent (8.0)

Statistics Canada also released seasonally adjusted, three-month moving average unemployment rates for major cities. It cautions, however, that the figures may fluctuate widely because they are based on small statistical samples. Here are the jobless rates last month by city (numbers from the previous month in brackets):

  • St. John’s, N.L. 9.4 per cent (8.8)
  • Halifax 8.1 per cent (7.5)
  • Moncton, N.B. 9.2 per cent (9.2)
  • Saint John, N.B. 12.2 per cent (12.1)
  • Saguenay, Que. 5.9 per cent (6.3)
  • Quebec City 5.0 per cent (4.7)
  • Sherbrooke, Que. 6.2 per cent (6.2)
  • Trois-Rivieres, Que. 6.7 per cent (6.8)
  • Montreal 8.2 per cent (8.5)
  • Gatineau, Que. 7.6 per cent (7.3)
  • Ottawa 6.1 per cent (6.5)
  • Kingston, Ont. 7.3 per cent (6.5)
  • Peterborough, Ont. 12.5 per cent (12.8)
  • Oshawa, Ont. 8.0 per cent (8.4)
  • Toronto 11.1 per cent (11.1)
  • Hamilton, Ont. 7.1 per cent (6.8)
  • St. Catharines-Niagara, Ont. 12.4 per cent (11.5)
  • Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo, Ont. 7.8 per cent (8.3)
  • Brantford, Ont. 7.6 per cent (6.9)
  • Guelph, Ont. 7.8 per cent (6.3)
  • London, Ont. 6.9 per cent (7.7)
  • Windsor, Ont. 10.7 per cent (10.3)
  • Barrie, Ont. 13.0 per cent (14.2)
  • Greater Sudbury, Ont. 8.7 per cent (7.9)
  • Thunder Bay, Ont. 8.3 per cent (8.4)
  • Winnipeg 8.3 per cent (8.8)
  • Regina 8.5 per cent (7.6)
  • Saskatoon 8.4 per cent (8.6)
  • Calgary 10.6 per cent (10.6)
  • Edmonton 11.6 per cent (11.9)
  • Kelowna, B.C. 5.2 per cent (4.6)
  • Abbotsford-Mission, B.C. 7.4 per cent (7.8)
  • Vancouver 7.9 per cent (7.8)
  • Victoria 4.9 per cent (5.0)

 

This report by The Canadian Press was first published March 12, 2021.

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